Tuesday, February 15, 2011

RTA Rest in peace.

H/T to the Siren for this..although we post it for different reasons.  Robin Vos and Van Wangaard took the leadership to get rid of this thing before the KRM and the "Not Very High speed train to Almost, but not exactly Madison", is almost dead.  Mayor Dickert can yank his unelected representative from the RTA, and save the city and/or State a few bucks.  But most importantly the entire state will save millions.  Here's my eulogy for RTA:

Good bye RTA. You wasted your life and those of us who never voted you in to existence, but we found a way to vote you out. Kudo's to Vos and WanGaard, the tens of millions dollars we will save because of just this one death.

RTA your death will be remembered for many years to come! The train no one would ride will thank your for preventing a life of emptyness, loneliness, solitude, and rusty rails to nowhere. I think I'll wear black today to mourn your passing. RIP

Saturday, February 12, 2011

Why Mitt will win in 2012 Nomination/ With June Update 6/16

I have had numerous discussions on this topic for the past several months with my TEA Party and Facebook friends and many others.  Nearly every time I get this groan...Not Mitt!  One word "Romney-care..game over".  I disagree!

I have felt Mitt is the best choice since well back in 2006 when names were just getting tossed around, and I still think he will win in 2012 at least the nomination.
I'm gonna get a little wonky here..but stay with me.  CPAC just finished it's Straw poll (record attendance and record number of voters), and for the second year in a row Ron Paul came out on top this year with 30% of the support. (Romney placed second this year and last and first the 3 years prior to that).   First off CPAC is very core conservatives/ TEA Party and in the past 2 years infiltrated by lot's of the Ron Paul-ittes.  3700 voters in this years Straw Poll.  Ron Paul gets 30%, Romney 23%, Gary Johnson (another Libertarian) ties with Christie, (who is NOT running) get 6% each.  Newt garners only 5%, and Sarah Palin comes in at 3%.  Huckabee doesn't even place with 1%  T. Paw and Daniels 4% each, Herman Cain, (the TEA Party darling)  only 2%.
Now we must accept the Ron Paul infiltrators are trying to stack the deck here, but it's artificial.  Paul only rec'd about 3-5% of the actual vote in primary's in 2008.  So of the attendees Paul got about 1110 votes.  Gary Johnson the other Paul-itte got 6% (222 votes).

This leaves about 2400 voters who represent a more traditional Republican/ Conservative voter:

Mitt with 23% of the total (962 votes), actually represents 40% of the adjusted vote, Christie at 6% (222 votes), equals just under 10% of the vote.  Newt @ 5% (185) equals 8%, Palin at 3% (111 votes) equals 5%  of the adjusted voters.  Herman Cain with 74 votes is about 3%.

Now lets look at who is actually likely to run.  Romney, Cain, and T. Paw * are in for sure.  Ron Paul MAYBE, (but I doubt it)..and I suspect he'll do better than 2008 but 10% at best.  Christie is NOT running; Palin is smart enough to not run this time; and Newt will probably waffle until he sells a few more books and then drop out or not ever get in like the past 2 times.

The race becomes Mitt, Cain, T. Paw * and maybe Hayley Barbour who both got 3% of the votes.  T. Paw is boring even compared to Mitt, and Barbour has a few things that are lingering out there, and he was a big time Lobbyist for a few years as well.    What about Huckabee??  Great question!   The Huckster has a pretty good ride going on Fox right now,  he didn't even show up at CPAC this year..and didn't receive enough votes to garner even 1%.  I think most people see his "aw shucks" thing and realize the folks in IOWA got bamboozled in 2008, where Mitt took second place..and could never recover, despite doing well in each race he was in.  It's almost too late for anyone else to jump in and compete..  JEB Bush wont do it.  Rick Perry from Texas maybe *.  Any US Senator that could go at it, right now I can't think of one; (John Thune indicated he is NOT going to run).  The rest of the Repub Govs are still too new to jump into a race this soon.  But there are some GREAT Govs out there  Christie, Walker, Scott, Kasich just to name a few.  I suppose I should add Mitch Daniels from Indiana as a possible, he did make some dramatic changes to IND.  But I think he'll come across a little too wimpy/ wonky  for the voters to grasp.  But he could be the possible upset. (He scored 4% in the CPAC poll).

  My handicap: Romney wins with 54%; Cain places with 20%; T. Paw* (Perry jumped in the same day T.Paw dropped out), and/or Daniels drops out early with 3-4% ; Barbour 12%; and Ron Paul with 10%  if he even gets in the race this time.

I welcome your comments and hopefully a dialogue.  I fully expect the Mormon topic to come up as well.  (* Comments were added regarding Perry/ T. Paw after the Iowa Straw Poll).

APRIL UPDATE:  See Charles Krauthammers commentary:  http://www.nydailynews.com/opinions/2011/04/22/2011-04-22_handicapping_the_2012_presidential_odds_can_any_of_the_republicans_unseat_obama.html

 MAY UPDATE:  Huckabee is out;  Still looks like Palin is not running;  Gingrich is in..but no one seems to take him seriously. Trump was a one week wonder.  Daniels is seriously considering it...but there is a bunch of stuff with him that will be challenge.  I'll talk about more later:

JUNE UPDATE:   Palin still being discussed, But I don't expect her to get in;  Huntsman to jump in this week. and Rick Perry is getting more serious talk, (I still think 50/50% at best).  Fox Debate was "won" by Herman Cain..and his poll numbers ticked up.  The New Hampshire debate added Romney and Michelle Bachmann and they both won the debate with Romney on top. The polls this week came out and have Romney breaking 30% and as high as 33%.  The NH Poll came out with GOP/ IND. Voters who are "Likely" and over 50% had watched the NH Debate.  Romney was 42% and led by over 32% over the nearest competitors: Ron Paul and Bachmann were tied with 10%.    National polling gives Ron Paul has been stuck around 7-8% for years. Cain and Bachmann are both polling around 10-12%.  Palin and Giulianni have been grabbing 14-16% but neither are likely to run. T. Paw can't get over 5%; Gingrich is still 8-9% despite his campaign staff all resigning last week.  Finally Johnson and Huntsman are both stuck around 1-2%.  

This is why there are no jobs in America.

Guest blogger Porter Stansberry

"This Is Why There Are No Jobs in America
I’d like to make you a business offer.

Seriously. This is a real offer. In fact, you really can’t turn me down, as you’ll come to understand in a moment…

Here’s the deal. You’re going to start a business or expand the one you’ve got now. It doesn’t really matter what you do or what you’re going to do. I’ll partner with you no matter what business you’re in – as long as it’s legal.

But I can’t give you any capital – you have to come up with that on your own. I won’t give you any labor – that’s definitely up to you. What I will do, however, is demand you follow all sorts of rules about what products and services you can offer, how much (and how often) you pay your employees, and where and when you’re allowed to operate your business. That’s my role in the affair: to tell you what to do.

Now in return for my rules, I’m going to take roughly half of whatever you make in the business each year. Half seems fair, doesn’t it? I think so. Of course, that’s half of your profits.

You’re also going to have to pay me about 12% of whatever you decide to pay your employees because you’ve got to cover my expenses for promulgating all of the rules about who you can employ, when, where, and how. Come on, you’re my partner. It’s only “fair.”

Now… after you’ve put your hard-earned savings at risk to start this business, and after you’ve worked hard at it for a few decades (paying me my 50% or a bit more along the way each year), you might decide you’d like to cash out – to finally live the good life.

Whether or not this is “fair” – some people never can afford to retire – is a different argument. As your partner, I’m happy for you to sell whenever you’d like… because our agreement says, if you sell, you have to pay me an additional 20% of whatever the capitalized value of the business is at that time.

I know… I know… you put up all the original capital. You took all the risks. You put in all of the labor. That’s all true. But I’ve done my part, too. I’ve collected 50% of the profits each year. And I’ve always come up with more rules for you to follow each year. Therefore, I deserve another, final 20% slice of the business.

Oh… and one more thing…

Even after you’ve sold the business and paid all of my fees… I’d recommend buying lots of life insurance. You see, even after you’ve been retired for years, when you die, you’ll have to pay me 50% of whatever your estate is worth.

After all, I’ve got lots of partners and not all of them are as successful as you and your family. We don’t think it’s “fair” for your kids to have such a big advantage. But if you buy enough life insurance, you can finance this expense for your children.

All in all, if you’re a very successful entrepreneur… if you’re one of the rare, lucky, and hard-working people who can create a new company, employ lots of people, and satisfy the public… you’ll end up paying me more than 75% of your income over your life. Thanks so much.

I’m sure you’ll think my offer is reasonable and happily partner with me… but it doesn’t really matter how you feel about it because if you ever try to stiff me – or cheat me on any of my fees or rules – I’ll break down your door in the middle of the night, threaten you and your family with heavy, automatic weapons, and throw you in jail.

That’s how civil society is supposed to work, right? This is Amerika, isn’t it?

That’s the offer Amerika gives its entrepreneurs. And the idiots in Washington wonder why there are no new jobs…

Regards,

Porter Stansberry"

Friday, February 11, 2011

Unemployment #'s are Fudged-Up in Mayor's Radio Campaign

An advertisement on WRJN touts the Mayors 5% decrease in the UE #'s.  Lets look at a Gov. site that provides #'s for our City,  Worknet.gov


Worknet   research:
May 09 #'s  15.5 %  June 09   16.0%  July  09   16.8%
Dec 10  #'s 12.8%
Best case scenario on this is 4% from the High to the Low.  
However in the same time period Labor force in 
July 09 40,537     E 33,730      UE 6807   UE Rate 16.8
Dec 10 37,867     E 33,028      UE 4839   UE Rate 12.8



The first point is obvious from May 2009 at 15.5 to the latest #'s Dec 2010  The decrease in UE was 2.7%.  If we give credit for the Highest to the lowest July 09 to Dec 10  the best the Mayor can claim is 4%.  so why advertise with 5%??  It was the same with "Balanced budget" and the Zero increase!  Why use numbers that are fake?  It makes no sense to me.

Look just a little deeper here though the ACTUAL numbers of jobs in Racine DROPPED by 702 jobs.   That's Less jobs not more!!  It is true that the UE number dropped as well by nearly 2000  but it's not because these people got jobs..they simply ran out of benefits.  Otherwise the Employed # would have INCREASED by that nearly 2000 folks.

Look at the other number in this comparison  How many people are in our workforce   We dropped nearly 2700 people in our workforce.  Did they move away? Retire? Die? Go to prison?   I think if 2700 people died or went to prison we would've read that story in the papers.   Thus I presume it's a combination of a few retirees, and a whole host people simply leaving town, or dropping out of the labor force.

To celebrate these Numbers in your Advertising without telling the real story is disingenuous at the very least. 
Racine can not afford to have 2700 people leave our city/ or our work force every 18 months.   
We must look at lower taxes, smarter spending, and a business friendly environment if we are to save our City.   Mr. Mayor use the TRUTH!

Wednesday, February 9, 2011

Alderman Marcus's Voting against business?

Last night the Public Safety and Licensing Committee met to discuss the request by a local DT market, to acquire a waiver of the "Class A" liquor license so the market can offer full liquor product selection, rather than the current "Beer" only license.

The market argues that offering full Class A will permit them to make enough profit during the sales day to be able close at 9 pm rather than the current midnight closing.  Whatever their reason the fact that Racine abides by this silly artificial "Cap", on licenses makes no sense whatsoever.  Now it should be noted the committee voted "Yes" to send the request to the full council this coming Tuesday evening, (Primary election day); however Alderman Marcus voted NO!!!  Ald. Marcus' reason, he explained was that he didn't believe the market had enough of a reason to break the "cap".   I respectfully disagree Alderman, if the market asks we should grant the request unless they have a history of problems.   If the city of Racine is going to recover and grow..we must allow businesses to make the decisions to grow their businesses,  Most of the current council and Mayor have blocked several businesses from opening in the city for "perceived problems", rather than actual problems.

Mr Marcus, as you pursue your Mayoral bid it must be your first goal to smooth the path, rather than block the path, of new and existing businesses.   If this market violates or abuses the rules, then we slap them down.   Until then give them the benefit of the doubt and let them make their business work better.

Thursday, February 3, 2011

Lady Liberty strikes again. Obamacare is Dead?

"We have to pass this, so the American people can see what's in it."  Nancy Pelosi on Obamacare bill in 2010.

Every day the American people see more that we don't like.  28 States AG's have taken this to Court and 2 of the decisions have stated the mandatory clause is unconstitutional, and the most recent ruling said the ENTIRE 2800 page Law is unconstitutional.  This is great news for the Country.  As of now the 26 States effected by that decision can effectively Halt enactment of the Federal mandates.  

Maybe Health care is something each state can determine.  Massachusetts has something but it's not working very well.  They can undo it whenever they decide to.  The Dem's in 2009/10 decided that the deal was unraveling and had been eroded in so many ways from it's original inception.  They shoved anything thru and didn't bother to add the sever-ability clause.  Just so Obama could claim a "success". 

Thanks Judge Vinson for your brave stand.  Now the AG's of the 26 states should join J.B. VanHollen and act like this law is truly voided.  If team Obama wants to request a stay, let them try it. Otherwise  this thing is DEAD: and I think the Dems know it.